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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:31AM UTC
MLB

Max Scherzer

WSN

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 -127 (1.79) · $100→$179
Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sun 30 Aug, 5:37PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 55.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed55.9%1.91

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners: Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds for Max Scherzer to allow under 4.5 hits look promising. Both the Blue Jays and Mariners have struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, with each team posting below-average hitting stats against them. Scherzer has shown he can handle tough matchups, and with the wind blowing out toward the outfield tonight, it might actually work in his favor by keeping hitters off balance. However, there's a solid chance this could go the other way since both teams have been inconsistent at the plate. The Blue Jays are slightly better at home, but their numbers against lefties show they can struggle. This matchup is tight, so while the bet seems good, it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Max Scherzer is averaging 4.0 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.0
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
2.4
Runs
1.2
Walks
3.6
Ks

Home / away and opponent splits

Max Scherzer is averaging 4.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in away games, including his recent form against SEA.

4.0
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Away
4.0
Hits · vs SEA
0.8
HR · Overall
1.2
HR · Away
0.5
HR · vs SEA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +110 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks Pending
25 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
25 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Max Scherzer (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Scherzer is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday 30 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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