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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for MacKenzie Gore is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 51%, implied 56%, edge +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 15.50 Outslanded 8 of the last 10
Over 17.50 Outslanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:48AM UTC
MLB

MacKenzie Gore

MLB

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
+1.0% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Wed 26 Aug, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
57 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 57.2% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap +1.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs57.2%51.0%56.2%1.96+1.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/5

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AI Analysis

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MacKenzie Gore Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chicago White Sox play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is MacKenzie Gore Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-128). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

MacKenzie Gore is averaging 5.4 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.4
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
2.2
Runs
1.6
Walks
9.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

MacKenzie Gore has gone over 2.5 SO in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.530%
o3.520%
o4.510%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

MacKenzie Gore is averaging 5.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in away games, including his recent form against ATL.

5.4
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Away
5.8
Hits · vs ATL
0.6
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
0.8
HR · vs ATL
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
11 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
26 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
26 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

MacKenzie Gore is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for MacKenzie Gore is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox on Wednesday 26 August at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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