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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lake Bachar is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 62%, implied 63%, edge +22.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:25AM UTC
MLB

Lake Bachar

MIA

+22.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 2.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+22.8% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs PIT @ CHW
updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 86.1% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +22.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts86.1%62.0%63.3%1.70+22.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Lake Bachar Under 2.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (-154)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Lake Bachar is facing a tough challenge against the Chicago White Sox lineup, which has been scoring about 1.3 runs more than the Pirates over the last 12 games. The White Sox have also shown they can hit left-handed pitchers well, with a batting average that matches the league average against them. This puts Bachar in a tricky spot, especially since he might struggle to get those strikeouts. While Bachar has a chance to do well, the risk is that he could be up against a lineup that typically performs better against lefties. With the White Sox hitting strong, betting on him to get fewer than 2.5 strikeouts seems like a wise pick. It's a solid bet based on how both teams are playing right now.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Lake Bachar average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Hits Allowed 1.5 Under +143 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Earned Runs 0.5 Under +104 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Walks 0.5 Over -127 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lake Bachar (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lake Bachar is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.8% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox on Wednesday 9 September at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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