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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ketel Marte is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 76%, implied 5%, edge +19.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
MLB

Ketel Marte

ARI

+19.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 +1980 (20.80) · $100→$2,080
+19.9% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
25 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 24.7% · the book's price implies 4.8% · gap +19.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases24.7%76.5%4.8%1.31+19.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+1920)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Ketel Marte has been getting on base quite a bit lately, and he has a good chance to steal a base in this matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks have been solid against left-handed pitchers, and Marte's speed can be a game-changer. He's been averaging a decent number of at-bats and walks, which makes him a good candidate for taking an extra base. The Kansas City Royals have struggled overall, losing more than they've won lately. That makes it a little risky since the Royals could be more focused on their pitching. Still, with Marte's ability to get on base and make moves, this bet has a fun chance to hit. Just remember, nothing is guaranteed in baseball!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Ketel Marte is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
1.0
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Ketel Marte has gone over 4.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o4.520%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Ketel Marte is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against SDP.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.6
Hits · vs SDP
0.0
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs SDP
Quick answers:How many home runs does Ketel Marte hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ketel Marte (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ketel Marte is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals on Wednesday 9 September at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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