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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Naylor is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 12%, implied 5%, edge -0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
MLB

Josh Naylor

MLB

-0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1800 (19.00) · $100→$1,900
-0.6% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Thu 10 Sep, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
5 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 4.7% · the book's price implies 5.3% · gap -0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored4.7%12.3%5.3%8.12-0.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers: Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1800)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Seattle Mariners have struggled lately, averaging 2.1 runs behind in their last 12 games. This has been especially tough against left-handed pitchers, where they haven't performed well. Meanwhile, the Texas Rangers have been hitting well, especially against lefties, scoring half a run more than their opponents on average during that time. Josh Naylor might be a long shot to score over 1.5 runs, but he has been making contact and isn't striking out, averaging less than one hit per game lately. The biggest risk here is that the Mariners' recent batting troubles could keep Naylor from getting the chances he needs. Even so, with the Rangers' good form, it's worth a look for a big payout.

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Pick History & Track Record

Josh Naylor's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Josh Naylor hit?

Josh Naylor's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
-164 best over price · 7 booksWent over in 3 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Josh Naylor hit?

Josh Naylor's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -164 across 7 books. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Josh Naylor is averaging 1.6 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.6
Hits
0.2
HR
0.8
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Josh Naylor has gone over 1.5 total bases in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.530%
o2.520%
o3.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Josh Naylor is averaging 1.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in away games, including his recent form against TOR.

1.6
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Away
1.4
Hits · vs TOR
0.2
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs TOR
Quick answers:How many home runs does Josh Naylor hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Naylor is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Naylor is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners on Thursday 10 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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