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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Lowe is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 8%, implied 8%, edge +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 3 of the last 3
Under 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:50AM UTC
MLB

Josh Lowe

TBR

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Home Runs Over 0.5 +1120 (12.20) · $100→$1,220
+2.8% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Mon 7 Sep, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
11 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 11.0% · the book's price implies 8.2% · gap +2.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs11.0%8.4%8.2%9.89+2.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/3
Last 10 games2/3

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AI Analysis

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Josh Lowe (TBR) Over 0.5 Home Runs (+1120)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Lowe (TBR) Over 0.5 Home Runs (+1120). That is a Home Runs bet. It was priced at +1120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $122 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Josh Lowe is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.6
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
1.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 90% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.590%
o1.550%
o2.550%
o3.530%
o4.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Josh Lowe is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against TOR.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
0.6
Hits · vs TOR
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs TOR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Under +122 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
06 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - RBIs Pending
06 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Josh Lowe (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Lowe is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox on Monday 7 September at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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