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The latest Bet Better model pick for Javier Baez is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 26 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 26%, implied 30%, edge -7.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
MLB

Javier Baez

CHC

-7.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 +234 (3.34) · $100→$334
-7.2% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 10:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
23 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 22.8% · the book's price implies 29.9% · gap -7.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored22.8%25.9%29.9%3.87-7.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers: Javier Baez Over 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+234)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Javier Baez has a knack for making things happen on the field, especially when the stakes are high. The Guardians have struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, which could give Baez a good chance to get on base and score. With the Guardians' recent home record being pretty even, this matchup feels like it could go either way. The Tigers have been a bit shaky lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. While Baez has shown he can break through tough pitching, there's still a risk here since the Guardians are tough to beat at home. Still, with Baez's speed and skill, betting on him to score at least once seems like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Javier Baez is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.0
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Javier Baez has gone over 0.5 H in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.510%
o2.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Javier Baez is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against SEA.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs SEA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.4
HR · vs SEA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Javier Báez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +234 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Doubles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Javier Baez (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Javier Baez is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -7.2% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians on Saturday 5 September at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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