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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Burger is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 43%, implied 46%, edge +1.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Rlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
MLB

Jake Burger

MIA

+1.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
+1.7% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Thu 10 Sep, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 48.0% · the book's price implies 46.3% · gap +1.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits48.0%43.1%46.3%2.33+1.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers: Jake Burger Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+116)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jake Burger is facing a tough matchup against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have struggled recently, scoring about 2 runs less than their opponents over the last 12 games. They've also been tough on left-handed hitters, which could make it hard for Burger to find success. While Burger has had a decent season, his hitting at this venue isn't impressive, averaging just 3 at-bats over 10 games with a tendency to ground out. Given that the Mariners have a strong record against lefties and Burger's batting stats suggest he might not get on base today, betting on him to get less than half a hit sounds like a smart move. Just keep in mind that things can change quickly in baseball.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jake Burger's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 0.5
-149 best over price · 5 booksHow many home runs does Jake Burger hit?

Jake Burger's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -149 across 5 books.

Batter Runs Scored 2.5
How many home runs does Jake Burger hit?

Jake Burger's batter runs scored line is 2.5.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Jake Burger hit?

Jake Burger's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Jake Burger hit?

Jake Burger's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jake Burger is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.4
Hits
0.2
HR
0.2
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Jake Burger has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jake Burger is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in home games, including his recent form against MIN.

0.4
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs MIN
0.2
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs MIN
Quick answers:How many home runs does Jake Burger hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +150 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over +134 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Singles — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Home Runs — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Burger (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Burger is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners on Thursday 10 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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