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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
SDP
For the numbers: model probability 61.6% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap -0.1%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
San Diego Padres play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Jackson Merrill is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.6 home runs and 1.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Jackson Merrill has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Jackson Merrill is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in away games, including his recent form against CHC.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Jackson Merrill (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jackson Merrill is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres on Wednesday 9 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.