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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jackson Holliday is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 45%, implied 42%, edge +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 3 of the last 3
Under 1.50 total baseslanded 3 of the last 3

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:48AM UTC
MLB

Jackson Holliday

BAL

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +138 (2.38) · $100→$238
+2.8% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
45 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 44.8% · the book's price implies 42.0% · gap +2.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits44.8%44.6%42.0%2.63+2.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians: Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+138)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jackson Holliday has not been producing much at the plate lately, averaging less than one hit, run, or RBI per game at Camden Yards. The Orioles have been scoring slightly more than the Guardians, but Holliday's struggles against left-handed pitchers could hold him back today. Cleveland has been having a rough time against lefties this season, and they're being outscored by nearly a run per game recently. With Holliday likely facing a left-handed pitcher today, the chances of him getting a hit seem slim. This bet isn't a sure thing, but the numbers suggest it's worth a look.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Jackson Holliday has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.5100%
o1.533%
o2.533%
o3.550%
o4.530%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -357 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -769 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Singles Pending
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Total Bases Pending

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About This Player

Jackson Holliday (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jackson Holliday is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 9 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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