Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dustin Harris is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 27 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 27%, implied 37%, edge -10.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 11, 7:04AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Over 0.5
+173 (2.73) · $100→$273
-10.9% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 26 of 140 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
26 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 25.7% · the book's price implies 36.6% · gap -10.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 25.7% | 27.1% | 36.6% | 3.69 | -10.9% |
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Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+173)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
San Diego Padres play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+173). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +173 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Dustin Harris is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dustin Harris is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -10.9% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres on Wednesday 9 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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