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The latest Bet Better model pick for Drake Baldwin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 55%, implied 64%, edge -3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
MLB

Drake Baldwin

MLB

-3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
-3.1% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.6% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap -3.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases60.6%54.6%63.7%1.69-3.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays: Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Drake Baldwin has not been getting a lot of hits lately, averaging just 0.3 strikeouts per game over his last three games. The Atlanta Braves have been strong overall, scoring about 0.7 more runs than their opponents in recent games, but they are facing the Tampa Bay Rays, who are also doing well and have been evenly matched in scoring lately. Baldwin faces a tough challenge against a solid Rays pitching staff, especially since both teams have similar numbers against left-handed pitchers. Plus, the wind is blowing out toward the outfield, which could help hitters, but it's still a good idea to bet he won't get more than 1.5 total bases tonight. There's a real chance this bet could lose since Baldwin has been a bit quiet, but the odds are in our favor.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Drake Baldwin has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.5100%
o1.560%
o2.550%
o3.540%
o4.530%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Drake Baldwin hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Drake Baldwin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drake Baldwin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves on Wednesday 9 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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