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The latest Bet Better model pick for Denzer Guzman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 46%, implied 47%, edge -0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 1.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
MLB

Denzer Guzman

MLB

-0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +115 (2.15) · $100→$215
-0.6% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 45.9% · the book's price implies 46.5% · gap -0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits45.9%45.6%46.5%2.35-0.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels: Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Denzer Guzman has struggled to find hits lately, averaging just 0.6 runs over his last 10 games. The Boston Red Sox have been doing well against left-handed pitchers like Guzman, showing they can really hit hard. They've won 7 of their last 10 games, and their batting against lefties is much better than the league average. However, there is a risk here since both teams have been pretty close in their recent performances. The Los Angeles Angels have only won 2 of their last 10 games, which hints at their struggles at the plate. With Guzman's low average and the Red Sox's strong hitting, betting on him to get less than half a hit seems like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (22 picks) 77.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Denzer Guzman has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 90% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.590%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.520%
o4.510%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Denzer Guzman hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +108 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Denzer Guzman is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 77.3% on tracked Denzer Guzman picks. The latest model pick for Denzer Guzman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox on Wednesday 9 September at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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