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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
MLB
For the numbers: model probability 55.4% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap -5.5%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Baltimore Orioles play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Total Bases (-156). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Ceddanne Rafaela is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Ceddanne Rafaela has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 67% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Ceddanne Rafaela is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Ceddanne Rafaela is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ceddanne Rafaela is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -5.5% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles on Thursday 3 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.