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The latest Bet Better model pick for Casey Schmitt is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 89%, implied 79%, edge +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:27AM UTC
MLB

Casey Schmitt

SFG

+9.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 1.5 -385 (1.26) · $100→$126
+9.5% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Giants transferred Schmitt (knee) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
updated Aug 30, 12:17AM UTC · 11d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
89 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 88.8% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +9.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored88.8%—79.4%1.13+9.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Casey Schmitt (SFG) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants gear up to face the Angels, all eyes will be on Casey Schmitt, but betting on him to score over 1.5 runs feels like a stretch. Sure, Schmitt has shown flashes of potential, but the Giants’ lineup has been inconsistent, especially against left-handed pitching. With the Angels likely sending a southpaw to the mound, the matchup doesn’t favor Schmitt, who has struggled to find his rhythm against lefties this season. Additionally, the Giants have been trending toward low-scoring games lately, averaging just over three runs in their last week of action. The Angels' pitching staff, while not perfect, has tightened up recently, limiting opponents’ run production effectively. With Schmitt's recent stats reflecting a downturn and the recent trends suggesting a struggle to score, placing your chips on the 'Under 1.5' for Schmitt makes a lot of sense in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Casey Schmitt is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.0
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Casey Schmitt has gone over 5.5 hits runs rbis in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Casey Schmitt is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in home games, including his recent form against COL.

0.8
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Home
0.4
Hits · vs COL
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs COL
Quick answers:How many home runs does Casey Schmitt hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Casey Schmitt (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Casey Schmitt is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs San Francisco Giants on Saturday 25 July at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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