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The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Benge is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 56%, implied 64%, edge -2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 9
Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 9
Over 0.50 1Blanded 5 of the last 9

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
MLB

Carson Benge

MLB

-2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
-2.5% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 61.2% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap -2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases61.2%55.7%63.7%1.70-2.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Carson Benge Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Carson Benge faces a tough challenge against the Miami Marlins, who have been pretty solid against left-handed pitchers. Although he averages 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs at Citi Field, his numbers suggest he might struggle to reach 1.5 total bases today. The Marlins have kept their opponents to about 0.4 runs under a game lately, which hints they can control the action. Benge's performance shows a little dip with a wOBA just below what you'd expect. With both teams averaging around the same level against lefties, he may not find the opportunities he needs. Betting on him to have under 1.5 total bases seems like a smart choice, but remember, it could go either way.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Carson Benge has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 89% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.589%
o1.556%
o2.522%
o3.511%
o4.511%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Carson Benge hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Carson Benge is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Benge is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Wednesday 9 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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