Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 64%, edge -0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Rlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 SBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:27AM UTC
MLB

Caleb Durbin

MLB

-0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
-0.9% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 63.2% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap -0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases63.2%59.8%64.1%1.64-0.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels: Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-179)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Caleb Durbin has not been hitting well lately, especially against left-handed pitchers. He has a lower average against lefties this season, which makes it tough for him to rack up total bases. Plus, he struggles in day games right after a night game, averaging no doubles in those situations. Playing at Fenway Park might not give him the boost he needs today. On top of that, the Boston Red Sox have been solid recently, winning seven out of their last ten games. They have been particularly tough on hitters, so Durbin could find it challenging to get on base. While there's always a chance he could surprise, the numbers suggest he might finish under 1.5 total bases today.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Caleb Durbin has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.510%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Caleb Durbin hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -909 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +149 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Caleb Durbin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox on Wednesday 9 September at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.