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The latest Bet Better model pick for Byron Buxton is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 52%, edge +7.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 1Blanded 7 of the last 10
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 3 of the last 3
Under 2.50 1Blanded 3 of the last 3

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:27AM UTC
MLB

Byron Buxton

MIN

+7.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
+7.4% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Athletics
Thu 27 Aug, 1:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Twins placed Buxton on the 10-day injured list Sunday due to a right hip impingement.
updated Aug 30, 4:49PM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
59 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 59.2% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +7.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases59.2%48.7%51.8%2.06+7.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Byron Buxton (MIN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics take on the Twins, all eyes will be on Byron Buxton, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. Sure, Buxton's got the power, but he's been streaky lately, managing just a handful of extra-base hits in recent outings. The A's home field has also turned into a pitcher-friendly haven, with the stadium’s dimensions favoring hurlers over sluggers. Looking at the matchup, the Athletics' pitching staff has been solid, with a rotation that’s been particularly effective against left-handed hitters, which could stifle Buxton's ability to find gaps. Moreover, his recent struggles against quality fastballs could further limit his chances. With the odds suggesting a strong lean towards the under, betting on Buxton to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Byron Buxton is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.2
HR
0.6
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.0
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Byron Buxton has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 67% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.567%
o1.50%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Byron Buxton is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against PHI.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
0.3
Hits · vs PHI
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs PHI
Quick answers:How many home runs does Byron Buxton hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under +103 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Byron Buxton (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Byron Buxton is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Athletics on Thursday 27 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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