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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brett Baty is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 58%, implied 53%, edge +7.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:27AM UTC
MLB

Brett Baty

NYM

+7.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
+7.4% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
DAY-TO-DAY
Baty was diagnosed with left knee pain following his removal from Wednesday's game against the Marlins.
updated Sep 9, 11:49PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.0% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +7.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits60.0%58.3%52.6%2.10+7.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Brett Baty Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Brett Baty has been struggling to get on base lately, averaging just 0.4 doubles over his last ten games at Citi Field. This shows that he's not hitting as well as expected, especially when going up against the Miami Marlins, who are decent against left-handed pitchers. With the Marlins coming off a tough stretch, they've been allowing just slightly over four runs a game lately, which could make it tough for Baty to find his rhythm. The risk here is that Baty's performance can vary from one game to the next, and he might surprise everyone. However, given his recent form and the way the Marlins have been pitching, betting on him to get less than half a hit seems like a smart move right now.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Brett Baty is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Brett Baty has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.520%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Brett Baty is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against MIA.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.2
Hits · vs MIA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs MIA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Brett Baty hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -294 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brett Baty (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brett Baty is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Wednesday 9 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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