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The latest Bet Better model pick for Braxton Ashcraft is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 5.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 4.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Under 2.50 ERlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:37AM UTC
MLB

Braxton Ashcraft

PIT

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug, 6:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 58.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs——58.8%1.69—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Braxton Ashcraft Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The St. Louis Cardinals are facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and this matchup has some interesting elements. The Pirates struggle against left-handed pitchers, showing weaker hitting numbers compared to the league average. Braxton Ashcraft, the pitcher for the Pirates, has a chance to keep the Cardinals from scoring too much, especially since the Cardinals have been inconsistent at home. Betting on Ashcraft to allow under 2.5 earned runs could be a smart move here. While both teams have similar recent form, the Cardinals have not been dominant at home this season. The biggest risk is how well the Cardinals hit against lefties, but Ashcraft has the potential to perform well. This could lead to a lower scoring game, making the under a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Braxton Ashcraft has gone over 2.5 SO in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.570%
o3.530%
o4.510%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
25 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
18 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
18 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Braxton Ashcraft is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday 30 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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