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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Freeland is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 78%, implied 5%, edge +20.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 7 of the last 10
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
MLB

Alex Freeland

MLB

+20.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 +1720 (18.20) · $100→$1,820
+20.2% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 25.7% · the book's price implies 5.5% · gap +20.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases25.7%77.5%5.5%1.29+20.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds: Alex Freeland Over 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+1720)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds for Alex Freeland to steal a base are really tempting at +1720. The Dodgers have been solid lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and Freeland has chances to run against the Reds, who have struggled a bit. While he hasn't been the best with runners in scoring position, he's still managed to get on base, and the Reds' pitching isn't at its strongest. Freeland's team has a good overall record, and they've been a bit better against lefties. There's a chance he could surprise everyone with a stolen base, but the Reds are also playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10. It's definitely possible, but keep in mind that Freeland's running game hasn't been consistent.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Alex Freeland has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.520%
o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Alex Freeland hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -909 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alex Freeland is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Freeland is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 10 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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