Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zak Butters is Over 25.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 75%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Zak Butters

Port Adelaide

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 25.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
28.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.3% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.3%75.2%1.33+0.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Over 25.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Zak Butters is the man to watch in the upcoming clash against St Kilda. In his last five away games, Butters has been a ball magnet, averaging a whopping 30.4 disposals per game. His ability to find space and impact contests is reflected in his solid contested possession average of 14 and a remarkable disposal efficiency of 71.5%. Facing St Kilda, Butters has a history of racking up the possessions, with an average of 27.4 disposals in their past encounters. His recent form suggests he's in prime position to eclipse the 25.5 disposals line once again. With an overall hit rate of 14 out of his last 15 games, the data paints a clear picture of Butters' consistency and productivity on the field. Betting on Butters to surpass 25.5 disposals could be a smart play given his current form and track record against the Saints.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Zak Butters averaged 27.1 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

27.1
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.7
Marks
4.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Zak Butters recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans20052
13 Sep 24Hawthorn17018
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats8011
25 Aug 24Fremantle28023
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows42145
10 Aug 24Melbourne30153
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans30058
26 Jul 24Carlton23055
20 Jul 24Richmond28012
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS351121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 25.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 22.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zak Butters is Over 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 11 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.