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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tristan Xerri is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 70%, edge +1.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:21AM UTC
AFL

Tristan Xerri

North Melbourne

+1.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+1.8% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 6:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
18.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.2% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +1.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.2%70.4%1.39+1.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tristan Xerri (North Melbourne) Over 15.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to a gritty contest on the footy field, Tristan Xerri is a player who thrives under pressure. His recent form on the road showcases his ability to rack up disposals consistently, averaging a solid 19.8 possessions over the last five away games. Facing off against Port Adelaide, a team he historically performs well against with an average of 23 disposals in their recent matchups, Xerri's knack for finding the footy is undeniable. With a line set at 15.5 disposals, the data suggests Xerri is poised to surpass this mark, especially considering his reliable contested possession rate of 16 and impressive disposal efficiency at 66.6%. As he looks to make his mark at Adelaide Oval, expect Xerri to be in the thick of the action, hunting for the ball and driving his team forward. Betting on Xerri to go over 15.5 disposals is a smart play backed by his consistent performance metrics and matchup history.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tristan Xerri averaged 17.9 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.9 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

17.9
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.9
Marks
7.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Tristan Xerri recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn25023
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs17156
10 Aug 24West Coast Eagles300612
3 Aug 24Richmond200610
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats25058
21 Jul 24Carlton160210
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans18035
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS17137
29 Jun 24Western Bulldogs20156
22 Jun 24Melbourne170210
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Tristan Xerri (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tristan Xerri is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 5 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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