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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Byrnes is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 80%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
AFL

Ryan Byrnes

St Kilda

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+0.2% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
15.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.2% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals80.2%—80.0%1.25+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Byrnes (St Kilda) Over 11.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to picking a player prop, Ryan Byrnes for the St Kilda Saints stands out like a beacon in the night. This young gun has been tearing it up lately, averaging a crisp 16 disposals per game over his last five matchups. But what really sets him apart is his consistency, hitting that mark in each of his past five outings. Facing off against the Greater Western Sydney Giants at Marvel Stadium, Byrnes has a point to prove on his home turf. His recent form, including an impressive 23 disposal average against this very opponent, suggests he's primed to shine once again. With a line set at a modest 11.5 disposals, Byrnes should have no trouble surpassing that mark and racking up the possessions as he leads the Saints into battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Ryan Byrnes averaged 16.3 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

16.3
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.6
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Ryan Byrnes recorded 17 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton17160
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats13062
11 Aug 24Richmond19081
27 Jul 24Essendon20052
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles13010
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows17054
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans22073
4 May 24North Melbourne4012
26 Apr 24Port Adelaide20021
18 Apr 24Western Bulldogs14033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ryan Byrnes (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Byrnes is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 14 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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