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The latest Bet Better model pick for Peter Wright is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 58%, implied 72%, edge +10.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
AFL

Peter Wright

Essendon

+10.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+10.5% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 2:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
12.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.0% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +10.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.0%58.3%72.5%1.71+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player for disposals in the AFL, Peter Wright of the Essendon Bombers is a prime candidate for a big game against Port Adelaide Power at Marvel Stadium. Over his last five home games, Wright has been a midfield force, averaging 11 disposals per game, comfortably surpassing the proposed line of 9.5. His ability to cover the ground effectively is highlighted by his impressive average of 151.8 meters gained during this stretch. Against Port Adelaide specifically, he has elevated his game, averaging 8.8 disposals in their recent encounters. With his knack for finding the footy and quality disposal efficiency, hitting the over on Wright's disposals line seems like a solid bet, especially considering his consistent performances at home.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Peter Wright averaged 11.3 disposals, 1.4 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
1.4
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (27 Jul 24 vs St Kilda), Peter Wright recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
27 Jul 24St Kilda7012
13 Jul 24Melbourne8000
5 Jul 24Collingwood13272
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats15262
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles12260
9 Jun 24Carlton12010
2 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS14180
25 May 24Richmond19034
19 May 24North Melbourne15491
11 May 24GWS GIANTS10022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Peter Wright (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Peter Wright is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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