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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Anderson is Over 28.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 51%, implied 54%, edge +17.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
AFL

Noah Anderson

Gold Coast SUNS

+17.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 28.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
+17.7% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
31.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.0% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +17.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.0%50.6%54.3%1.98+17.7%

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AI Analysis

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Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 28.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Anderson is set to light up the field in the clash against Greater Western Sydney, and the stats are painting a clear picture. Over his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 29.6 disposals, including a solid 18.6 kicks and 11 handballs. His recent showdowns against GWS have seen him notch up an average of 28.2 disposals, comfortably above the 28.5 line set for this game. With a current away hit streak and an overall hit rate trending positively, Anderson is primed to dominate the possession count. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up the touches and driving the Suns forward. Betting on Anderson to go over 28.5 disposals is a smart play for this showdown at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Noah Anderson averaged 29.0 disposals, 0.6 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

29.0
Disposals
0.6
Goals
4.7
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Noah Anderson recorded 30 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond30193
17 Aug 24Melbourne33083
10 Aug 24Essendon26071
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles30150
27 Jul 24Brisbane Lions23043
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS27011
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide29135
6 Jul 24North Melbourne30161
29 Jun 24Collingwood39085
23 Jun 24Fremantle23032
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 23.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 22.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 26.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Anderson is Over 28.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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