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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Davies-Uniacke is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 74%, edge +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
AFL

Luke Davies-Uniacke

North Melbourne

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+1.1% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks
University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston, TAS · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 3:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
23.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.7% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +1.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.7%—73.5%1.34+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) Over 20.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

If you're looking to back a player prop bet with a high probability of hitting, Luke Davies-Uniacke is your man. The North Melbourne midfielder has been a possession magnet, averaging a hefty 23.4 disposals over his last five away games. Facing Hawthorn, he's even more prolific, notching up an average of 26.2 disposals against them in their past encounters. Davies-Uniacke's recent form is red hot, with an impressive contested possession average of 10.8 and a stellar disposal efficiency of 77.5%. His ability to find space and move the ball efficiently makes him a prime candidate to surpass the 20.5 disposal line set by the bookies. With a current hit streak of 2 in away games and a solid hit rate of 13/16, Davies-Uniacke is primed to continue his dominance in this matchup. Betting on him to go over 20.5 disposals seems like a solid play given his recent performances and historical success against the Hawks.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Luke Davies-Uniacke averaged 27.7 disposals, 0.5 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

27.7
Disposals
0.5
Goals
3.7
Marks
3.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Luke Davies-Uniacke recorded 26 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn26035
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs30084
10 Aug 24West Coast Eagles28001
3 Aug 24Richmond33363
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats31036
21 Jul 24Carlton23055
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans24057
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS30143
29 Jun 24Western Bulldogs17026
22 Jun 24Melbourne31143
Quick answers:How many disposals does Luke Davies-Uniacke average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 20.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Davies-Uniacke is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 1 August at University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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