Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kane Farrell is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 85%, edge +5.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Kane Farrell

Port Adelaide

+5.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+5.8% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
21.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.3% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +5.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.3%—85.5%1.10+5.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want someone who's a reliable ball magnet, and Kane Farrell fits that bill perfectly. Playing at home in Adelaide Oval, Farrell has been a dominant force in recent games, averaging a whopping 21.8 disposals per match in his last five home games. What's more impressive is his consistency, boasting a stellar disposalefficiency of 83.9% and racking up an average of 17.8 kicks and 4 handballs. Facing the Sydney Swans, against whom he averages 18.5 disposals, Farrell is poised to shine. With his current form and the backing of his home crowd, backing Farrell to surpass 14.5 disposals is a smart move with a high probability of hitting.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Kane Farrell averaged 19.3 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.0 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

19.3
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.0
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Fremantle), Kane Farrell recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Fremantle13042
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11025
10 Aug 24Melbourne17074
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans25052
26 Jul 24Carlton16141
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS27081
6 Jul 24Western Bulldogs17023
30 Jun 24St Kilda25065
22 Jun 24Brisbane Lions24052
16 Jun 24GWS GIANTS30060
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 18.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 17.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kane Farrell is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.