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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan De Goey is Over 9.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 76%, edge +5.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Jordan De Goey

Collingwood

+5.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Kicks Over 9.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
+5.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
13.3 Kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.1% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap +5.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks81.1%68.4%75.8%1.46+5.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) Over 9.5 player_kicks_over (-312)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy fans, let's talk Jordan De Goey and why he's a prime pick for the 'Kicks Over' market when Collingwood faces off against the Western Bulldogs at the iconic MCG. De Goey has been a midfield maestro, consistently delivering with an average of 13.3 kicks per game, surpassing the 9.5 line comfortably. With a model edge of 5.3%, the numbers back his ability to control the game from the center. In a high-stakes clash like this, De Goey thrives under pressure, using his footy IQ to find space and create scoring opportunities. Facing the Bulldogs in Melbourne, he'll look to showcase his precise kicking skills and dominate the midfield battle. So, if you're looking for a reliable bet with a strong statistical foundation, backing De Goey to go over 9.5 kicks is as safe as a mark in the goal square.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jordan De Goey averaged 20.8 disposals, 0.8 goals and 3.8 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

20.8
Disposals
0.8
Goals
3.8
Marks
3.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (3 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Jordan De Goey recorded 12 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
3 Aug 24Carlton12232
20 Jul 24Hawthorn16103
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats24143
5 Jul 24Essendon19055
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS21244
18 May 24Adelaide Crows26261
25 Apr 24Essendon23046
20 Apr 24Port Adelaide27057
7 Apr 24Hawthorn31167
28 Mar 24Brisbane Lions18013
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Kicks 9.5 Over -313 ✗ MISS
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Kicks 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan De Goey is Over 9.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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