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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Clark is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 71%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Jordan Clark

Fremantle

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+0.5% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
21.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.9% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%59.2%71.4%1.69+0.5%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Jordan Clark Over 18.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Jordan Clark to get over 18.5 disposals look promising. Both Fremantle and Hawthorn have been in strong form lately, winning seven of their last ten games. Clark has been a key player, and with Fremantle getting the ball inside 50 about 8.1 more times than the Hawks, he should have plenty of chances to rack up those disposals. One thing to keep in mind is that Fremantle does tend to lose contested possessions, which could make things tricky for Clark if Hawthorn puts up a strong defense. Still, given how often Fremantle is getting the ball and Clark's role in the game, this bet has a good chance of hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jordan Clark averaged 24.7 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.7
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jordan Clark has cleared 16.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o16.5100%
o17.5100%
o19.590%
o21.570%
o23.530%
o24.520%
o26.510%
o28.510%
o30.510%
o31.510%
o33.510%
o35.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jordan Clark is averaging 25.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

25.6
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jordan Clark recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide18027
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17036
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats281104
4 Aug 24Essendon29061
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles24044
21 Jul 24Melbourne23151
13 Jul 24Hawthorn20095
6 Jul 24Richmond26072
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans23062
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17076
Quick answers:How many disposals does Jordan Clark average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 18.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 11.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Clark is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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