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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 80%, implied 81%, edge +12.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
AFL

Jed Walter

Gold Coast SUNS

+12.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -417 (1.24) · $100→$124
+12.4% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 3:10AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.0% · the book's price implies 80.6% · gap +12.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.0%80.4%80.6%1.24+12.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-417)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jed Walter is as reliable as they come. With an average of 2.2 goals in his last five away games, his goal-scoring prowess is undeniable. Add in his stellar 75.0% goal accuracy and consistent shot opportunities (3 shots at goal per game), and you have a recipe for a player who knows how to find the big sticks. Facing the GWS Giants, a team he's historically performed well against, only enhances Walter's prospects. With a current hit streak of 5 away games and an impressive 100% hit rate in his last five outings, Walter is riding a wave of form that makes the Over 0.5 goals market a compelling choice. Expect Jed Walter to continue his scoring spree and make an impact on the scoreboard in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jed Walter averaged 5.7 disposals, 0.8 goals and 1.8 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

5.7
Disposals
0.8
Goals
1.8
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Jed Walter recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Melbourne7061
10 Aug 24Essendon7211
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS6025
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide1002
8 Jun 24St Kilda5003
2 Jun 24Essendon5023
25 May 24Carlton1010
11 May 24North Melbourne11223
5 May 24Brisbane Lions5113
28 Apr 24West Coast Eagles8241
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns Goals Pending
11 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jed Walter is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 9 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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