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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 64%, edge +10.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:27AM UTC
AFL

Jarman Impey

Hawthorn

+10.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
+10.3% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
24.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.4% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +10.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.4%58.5%64.1%1.71+10.3%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Jarman Impey Over 20.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

At Optus Stadium, Jarman Impey is primed to have a strong game against Fremantle. The Dockers have been solid lately, winning seven of their last ten matches, but they do tend to lose contested ball situations by a bit. This could give Impey more chances to rack up disposals as he finds space to receive the ball. Plus, Hawthorn also has a good recent run, winning seven of their last ten games. Impey has shown he can step up during these matchups, and our numbers suggest he has a good chance to go over 20.5 disposals. The main risk here is how closely matched these teams are overall, which might make it harder for him to get those extra touches. Still, it's worth a shot considering his recent form and the way both teams play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jarman Impey averaged 18.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

18.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.6
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jarman Impey recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs19031
24 Aug 24North Melbourne23031
18 Aug 24Richmond18074
11 Aug 24Carlton25060
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17024
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20181
20 Jul 24Collingwood13124
13 Jul 24Fremantle17051
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats22045
Quick answers:How many disposals does Jarman Impey average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.3% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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