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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Sicily is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 56%, edge +4.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

James Sicily

Hawthorn

+4.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
+4.3% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 7 Mar, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
19.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 59.8% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +4.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals59.8%55.6%1.67+4.3%

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AI Analysis

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James Sicily (Hawthorn) Over 18.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to hitting the over on disposals, James Sicily is a reliable bet. His recent form on the road has been impressive, averaging 18.2 disposals per game, with a solid disposal efficiency of 82.3%. Sicily's ability to find the footy is evident in his knack for intercepts (7.8 per game) and metres gained (365 on average). Facing the GWS Giants, he has historically performed well, averaging 19 disposals against them in their last encounters. With his consistent kick and handball numbers, Sicily is poised to make an impact in this match. Despite a slight dip in uncontested possessions, his overall numbers suggest he's primed to surpass the 18.5 disposals line. Betting on Sicily to dominate the field and rack up the possessions seems like a smart play for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

James Sicily averaged 21.5 disposals, 0.4 goals and 7.6 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

21.5
Disposals
0.4
Goals
7.6
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), James Sicily recorded 19 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide19162
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs230113
24 Aug 24North Melbourne24270
18 Aug 24Richmond15040
11 Aug 24Carlton300101
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS20080
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows18281
20 Jul 24Collingwood30062
13 Jul 24Fremantle13352
30 Jun 24West Coast Eagles210114
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

James Sicily (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Sicily is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 7 March at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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