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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Jordon is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 76%, edge +6.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:31AM UTC
AFL

James Jordon

Sydney Swans

+6.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+6.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
17.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.4% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +6.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.4%—76.3%1.21+6.1%

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AI Analysis

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James Jordon (Sydney Swans) Over 12.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the data, James Jordon has been a consistent ball magnet at home, averaging 16.4 disposals in his last five games at the SCG. Against Port Adelaide, he typically steps up with an average of 15.3 disposals in their previous encounters. Jordon's recent form is impressive, boasting an 82.7% disposal efficiency and a solid 232.4 meters gained average in his last five home games. With a current hit streak of 8 games at home and hitting his disposal line in 15 out of his last 17 overall, Jordon is in a prime position to snag over 12.5 disposals this match. The data points to a high probability of him continuing his strong performance, making the Over a smart bet for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

James Jordon averaged 14.7 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

14.7
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.3
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), James Jordon recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13054
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide10023
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS12046
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows18014
16 Aug 24Essendon15042
9 Aug 24Collingwood8125
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide7041
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs10032
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16033
13 Jul 24North Melbourne18152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 12.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

James Jordon (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Jordon is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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