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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Hopper is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 71%, edge +3.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Hopper

Richmond

+3.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+3.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
24.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.9% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +3.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.9%71.4%1.33+3.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Hopper (Richmond) Over 21.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jacob Hopper lining up for the Richmond Tigers against North Melbourne Kangaroos, the stats paint a compelling picture for hitting the Over 21.5 disposals mark. Hopper's recent performances, averaging 23.2 disposals in his last five away games, showcase his ability to consistently find the footy. His knack for gaining meters (226.2 avg) and maintaining a solid disposal efficiency (57.2%) underlines his impact on the game. Against North Melbourne specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 24.8 disposals in their past encounters. With a current hit streak and a history of hitting the mark, all signs point to Hopper being a prime candidate to surpass 21.5 disposals in this matchup. Trust in Hopper to continue his ball-winning ways and back him to rack up the touches in this clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jacob Hopper averaged 23.8 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

23.8
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.7
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jacob Hopper recorded 24 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS24035
18 Aug 24Hawthorn18135
11 Aug 24St Kilda28022
3 Aug 24North Melbourne20025
28 Jul 24Collingwood20053
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide25044
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS28032
6 Jul 24Fremantle26054
30 Jun 24Carlton25075
24 Apr 24Melbourne23022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jacob Hopper (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Hopper is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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