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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Viney is Over 9.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 68%, edge +4.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:48AM UTC
AFL

Jack Viney

Melbourne

+4.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Handballs Over 9.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
+4.4% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 29 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
12.2 Handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.9% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +4.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs72.9%61.0%68.5%1.64+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Viney (Melbourne) Over 9.5 player_handballs_over (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to getting down and dirty in the trenches, Jack Viney is a maestro. Playing at the hallowed MCG, his backyard, Viney thrives on the tough contests. The stats back it up too. With a model prediction of 12.2 handballs, comfortably above the set line of 9.5, Viney has been a reliable ball magnet. Factor in the 4.4% model edge, indicating a strong probability of him exceeding expectations, and you've got a recipe for success. Facing off against Carlton, Viney will relish the opportunity to dominate the contested possessions, setting the tone for the Demons. Home ground advantage only adds to his allure, making the Over 9.5 handballs prop a tantalizing prospect. So, when it's crunch time at the 'G', trust Viney to lead the charge and rack up those crucial handballs.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Viney averaged 21.0 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

21.0
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.6
Marks
6.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Jack Viney recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood11025
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS302510
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide23038
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs13006
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS23115
21 Jul 24Fremantle23022
13 Jul 24Essendon20003
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles18055
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions26018
22 Jun 24North Melbourne25036
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Marks 1.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Handballs — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jack Viney (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Viney is Over 9.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 29 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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