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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 71%, edge +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:15AM UTC
AFL

Jack Macrae

St Kilda

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+0.3% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
21.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.7% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.7%71.4%1.39+0.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Macrae (St Kilda) Over 18.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Jack Macrae stands out like a shining star. His recent form paints a picture of consistency and reliability, traits every footy punter covets. In his last five away games, Macrae has been a midfield maestro, averaging a healthy 19 disposals per outing, well above the 18.5 line set by sportsbet. His ability to find the footy in traffic with an average of 9.8 contested possessions showcases his workhorse mentality. With a disposal efficiency of 75.9%, he not only gets the ball but uses it effectively. Facing Melbourne, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 30.2 disposals, Macrae is primed to meet or exceed expectations. So, when it's crunch time at the MCG, backing Macrae to surpass 18.5 disposals seems like a sure bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Macrae averaged 18.4 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

18.4
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.4
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Jack Macrae recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn7014
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS23027
18 Aug 24North Melbourne17261
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats3012
13 Jul 24Carlton21033
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide16033
29 Jun 24North Melbourne18032
15 Jun 24Fremantle19023
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions20041
31 May 24Collingwood19274
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Macrae (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Macrae is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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