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The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaac Heeney is Over 25.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 67%, edge +4.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
AFL

Isaac Heeney

Sydney Swans

+4.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 25.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
+4.4% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
28.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.1% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +4.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.1%—66.7%1.41+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 25.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Heeney, the Swans' midfield maestro, is primed to shine in front of the home crowd at the SCG against Port Adelaide. Over his last five home games, Heeney has been a ball magnet, averaging a whopping 30 disposals per game, well above the set line of 25.5. His recent form showcases his ability to find the footy with ease, boasting strong contested possessions and efficient ball use. Against Port Adelaide, he has historically elevated his game, averaging 24.2 disposals in their previous encounters. With an impressive hit streak of 8 consecutive games hitting the over on disposals at home, Heeney looks set to continue his dominance in this matchup. Bet on Heeney to surpass 25.5 disposals and make his mark on the contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Isaac Heeney averaged 25.1 disposals, 1.4 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

25.1
Disposals
1.4
Goals
4.5
Marks
4.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Isaac Heeney recorded 14 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions14141
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide24266
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS30365
16 Aug 24Essendon22362
9 Aug 24Collingwood32163
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide17123
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs32063
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions19036
7 Jul 24St Kilda24254
29 Jun 24Fremantle20016
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 23.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 22.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaac Heeney is Over 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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