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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Finn O'Sullivan is Under 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 52%, edge +19.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:45AM UTC
AFL

Finn O'Sullivan

North Melbourne

+19.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 22.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
+19.5% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 5:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
19.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.9% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +19.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%49.4%52.4%2.02+19.5%

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AI Analysis

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Finn O'Sullivan (North Melbourne) Under 22.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Finn O'Sullivan, the Kangaroos' midfield maestro, heads into the clash against the Swans with a target on his back. Despite recent away form showing a solid 15.8 disposals average, his numbers fall slightly below the sportsbet line of 22.5. With a trend of 7 consecutive under-achievements on disposals in away games, he faces a formidable challenge against a Sydney side he's historically struggled to dominate, averaging just 20 disposals in their recent encounters. O'Sullivan's efficiency and contested possessions are commendable, but his ability to rack up high numbers consistently is in question. The data suggests a gritty battle awaits, with Finn likely to fall short of the 22.5 disposals line, making the 'Under' an intriguing bet with favorable odds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (22 picks) 68.2% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Finn O'Sullivan - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals 22.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Finn O'Sullivan (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 68.2% on tracked Finn O'Sullivan picks. The latest model pick for Finn O'Sullivan is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans on Sunday 23 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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