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The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 72%, edge +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Elijah Hollands

Carlton

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
+2.2% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 21°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
17.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.1% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap +2.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.1%—71.9%1.35+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Elijah Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, finding an edge is crucial, and Elijah Hollands presents a compelling case for hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark against Melbourne at the MCG. In his last five home games, Hollands has been a midfield maestro, averaging 19 disposals with a solid 76.4% efficiency. His recent form includes 12.6 kicks and 6.4 handballs per game, showcasing his ability to impact the game both offensively and defensively. With an average of 2.2 intercepts and 279.8 meters gained per game, Hollands is a key playmaker for Carlton. Considering his consistent performance and recent hit streak, backing Hollands to exceed 14.5 disposals in this matchup looks like a smart play for punters looking to capitalize on his midfield prowess and playmaking skills.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Elijah Hollands averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.5
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Elijah Hollands recorded 19 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions19131
25 Aug 24St Kilda22071
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles25063
11 Aug 24Hawthorn14172
3 Aug 24Collingwood21261
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide20064
21 Jul 24North Melbourne16025
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs19144
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS16024
30 Jun 24Richmond20172
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Elijah Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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