Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cam Mackenzie is Over 69.5 on Fantasy.
On Fantasy, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 62%, edge +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:34AM UTC
AFL
Cam Mackenzie
Hawthorn
Latest Model Pick
Fantasy
Over 69.5
-161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+10.2% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks
@
Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
72 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 71.9% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +10.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Fantasy | 71.9% | 60.2% | 61.7% | 1.66 | +10.2% |
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Cam Mackenzie (Hawthorn) Over 69.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over (-161)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Cam Mackenzie (Hawthorn) Over 69.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Season averages (2024)
Cam Mackenzie averaged 15.0 disposals, 0.5 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs North Melbourne), Cam Mackenzie recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 24 Aug 24 | North Melbourne | 23 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 18 Aug 24 | Richmond | 12 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 Aug 24 | Carlton | 22 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Fremantle | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Geelong Cats | 17 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 30 Jun 24 | West Coast Eagles | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Richmond | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 8 Jun 24 | GWS GIANTS | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Adelaide Crows | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 26 May 24 | Brisbane Lions | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Cam Mackenzie (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cam Mackenzie is Over 69.5 on Fantasy. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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