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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Daniel is Over 24.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 67%, edge +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
AFL

Caleb Daniel

North Melbourne

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+5.1% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
27.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.3% · the book's price implies 67.1% · gap +5.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.3%67.1%1.38+5.1%

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AI Analysis

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Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) Over 24.5 Disposals (-204)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player who's more likely to hit the Over 24.5 disposals mark in the upcoming Western Bulldogs vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos clash, Caleb Daniel stands out like a shining star in the night sky. Just look at his recent form – averaging a solid 24 disposals in his last five away games, with a knack for efficiency sitting at 81.4%. Daniel's ability to cover the ground is evident, churning out an impressive 370.6 meters gained on average. Facing off against the Bulldogs, where he's maintained a consistent 24.5 average in their last five encounters, further boosts his chances. With the model predicting him to reach 27.4 disposals, at decimal odds of 1.49, it's a proposition that holds strong weight. Daniel's on a hot streak, making the Over on his disposals a smart play for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Caleb Daniel averaged 14.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 2.8 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

14.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
2.8
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Caleb Daniel recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn23064
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS23143
18 Aug 24North Melbourne25061
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows15021
2 Aug 24Melbourne6001
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans6020
15 Jun 24Fremantle6020
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions15022
31 May 24Collingwood14022
23 May 24Sydney Swans20042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 24.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 23.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 22.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Daniel is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 6 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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