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The latest Bet Better model pick for Billy Frampton is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 62%, implied 69%, edge +4.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
AFL

Billy Frampton

Collingwood

+4.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 3.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+4.7% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
5.3 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.1% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +4.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks74.1%62.0%69.4%1.61+4.7%

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AI Analysis

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Billy Frampton (Collingwood) Over 3.5 player_marks_over (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dissect why Billy Frampton is a solid bet for Over 3.5 marks in the upcoming clash between the Collingwood Magpies and the Western Bulldogs at the iconic MCG. Frampton, the reliable forward, has been consistently hoisting his fair share of marks lately. Over his last five away games, he's been hauling in an average of 3.6 marks per outing. What's more intriguing is his history against the Bulldogs; when facing them away, he elevates his game even further, snatching an average of 4.7 marks. With an overall average of 4.2 marks in his last five matches, Frampton seems primed to soar above the 3.5 mark line, especially against a Bulldogs side where he historically excels. The numbers paint a compelling picture for Billy to shine in the aerial duels and potentially snag a few crucial grabs to land this prop bet comfortably.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Billy Frampton averaged 8.9 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

8.9
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.3
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Billy Frampton recorded 4 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions4021
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans5021
3 Aug 24Carlton7031
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats15052
5 Jul 24Essendon7011
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS6052
16 Jun 24North Melbourne5011
10 Jun 24Melbourne4123
31 May 24Western Bulldogs7031
24 May 24Fremantle9020
Quick answers:How many disposals does Billy Frampton average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 3.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Billy Frampton (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Billy Frampton is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.7% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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