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The latest Bet Better model pick for Angus Clarke is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 70%, implied 80%, edge +8.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Angus Clarke

Essendon

+8.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+8.6% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 2:20AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
16.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 88.6% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +8.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals88.6%70.3%80.0%1.42+8.6%

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AI Analysis

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Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Angus Clarke to surpass 9.5 disposals in the upcoming clash at Marvel Stadium, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Clarke has been a standout performer in his last five home games, averaging 13.8 disposals with a solid 79.8% efficiency. His ability to find space and generate meters gained (268.8 avg.) showcases his impact on the field. With a current hit streak of 5 at home, Clarke consistently contributes in contested possessions (3.2 avg.) and interceptions (2.6 avg.), indicating his involvement in Essendon's midfield battles. Against Port Adelaide, Clarke's form suggests he's primed to maintain his disposal output and play a pivotal role in the Bombers' game plan. Bet confidently on Clarke to deliver over 9.5 disposals and be a key figure in Essendon's midfield dominance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Angus Clarke - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 10.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Angus Clarke (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Angus Clarke is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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