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The latest Bet Better model pick for Aliir Aliir is Under 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 54%, edge +16.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Aliir Aliir

Port Adelaide

+16.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 16.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
+16.2% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 1:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
13.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.6% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +16.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.6%—54.3%1.42+16.2%

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AI Analysis

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Aliir Aliir (Port Adelaide) Under 16.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in a solid player disposals bet for the Port Adelaide Power versus West Coast Eagles clash, Aliir Aliir is our man to watch. Playing on his home turf at Adelaide Oval, Aliir has been a defensive rock, averaging 15.2 disposals in his last five home games with a stellar contested possession average of 5.4. However, when facing off against the Eagles, he tends to see a slight dip in his disposal numbers, averaging just 10.8 against them in their last five encounters. With a model prediction of 13.8 disposals and a solid hit streak of 16 home games, Aliir is poised to fall just shy of the 16.5 line. Bet smart and back Aliir Aliir to stay under that mark on Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Aliir Aliir averaged 14.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.4 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

14.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.4
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Aliir Aliir recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans15081
13 Sep 24Hawthorn11041
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats16070
25 Aug 24Fremantle13052
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10041
10 Aug 24Melbourne14050
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans13062
26 Jul 24Carlton13081
20 Jul 24Richmond17071
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS220141
Quick answers:How many disposals does Aliir Aliir average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Aliir Aliir (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aliir Aliir is Under 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 29 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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