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Model picks & player props
Sunderland
VS
Manchester City

Sunderland vs Manchester City Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 12, 12:59PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Sunderland 2 Spread -179

The model graded 20 markets for Sunderland vs Manchester City (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $156 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00PM at Etihad Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.4%
The price says58.0%
Best price-179
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Sunderland 2 High73% chance -179
Spread High66% chance —
Total Goals Lean50% chance —
Total Goals High72% chance —
Spread Lean51% chance —
Spread High79% chance —
Spread Lean58% chance —
Total Goals High87% chance —
Spread High97% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Manchester City are the model's favourite to beat Sunderland, with a 89% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 20 Sep, 1:00PM at Etihad Stadium. Best bet: Sunderland 2 at -179.
How they've been scoring this season
SunderlandManchester City
Won-lost1-1-13-0-0
Goals scored per game1.02.3
Goals allowed per game1.00.7
On the road / at home0-1-1 away2-0-0 at home
Last 5 gamesLWDWWW
Their games average 2.5 total goals this season.
From the 3 Sunderland and 3 Manchester City games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 63 of 130 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 11
Fiorentina
Fiorentina @ Venezia
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $180
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Sunderland
+1.5
-108
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sunderland

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Manchester City

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sunderland vs Manchester City: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineSunderland @ Manchester CityNo line posted
6-0-0past meetings (last 6)
Draw22%Home form11-5-4Away form2-4-14
past meetings, home wins6 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 0.

Both Teams to ScoreSunderland @ Manchester CityNo line posted
4 / 6past meetings, both scored
Manchester45%Sunderland25%
past meetings, both scored4 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 45% of Manchester City's and 25% of Sunderland's recent matches.

Total GoalsSunderland @ Manchester CityUnder +5.5 -2500
93%model over %
4 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.540%past meetings avg3.5
past meetings, over 2.54 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 3.5 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Under at 93% here.

Sunderland @ Manchester City — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Sunderland at Manchester City — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sunderland vs Manchester City in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 20 September 2026 at Etihad Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Manchester City 14–4 across the last 22 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 2.9 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
1 Jan 2026Manchester City @ Sunderland0–0Draw
6 Dec 2025Sunderland @ Manchester City3–0Manchester City
5 Mar 2017Manchester City @ Sunderland0–2Manchester City
13 Aug 2016Sunderland @ Manchester City2–1Manchester City
2 Feb 2016Manchester City @ Sunderland0–1Manchester City
26 Dec 2015Sunderland @ Manchester City4–1Manchester City
1 Jan 2015Sunderland @ Manchester City3–2Manchester City
3 Dec 2014Manchester City @ Sunderland1–4Manchester City
16 Apr 2014Sunderland @ Manchester City2–2Draw
10 Nov 2013Manchester City @ Sunderland1–0Sunderland

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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