Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kirk Cousins is Under 0.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 60%, edge +8.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 15, 11:30AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards
Under 0.5
-149 (1.67) · $100→$167
+8.2% Edge
Miami Dolphins
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl receiving yards (alt) overs: 101 of 152 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Cousins completed 21 of 30 passes for 160 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions and rushed five times for minus-6 yards in the Raiders' 27-13 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
updated Sep 14, 2:02AM UTC · 1d old
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How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Rushing Yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 68.1% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +8.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 68.1% | 68.1% | 59.9% | 1.77 | +8.2% |
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Kirk Cousins (LV) Under 0.5 Rushing Yards (-149)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kirk Cousins (LV) Under 0.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted 29.5typical line · rushing yds
line range0.5–29.5model over15%tips tracked3
Kirk Cousins's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 29.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
9%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Kirk Cousins's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 9%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Passing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
model over95%tips tracked1
Kirk Cousins's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Kirk Cousins (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kirk Cousins is Under 0.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 13 September at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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