Here are our AFL picks for Saturday 12 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Sydney Swans Win, priced at +147 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Sydney Swans Win (+147)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Swans Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Under 42.5 team_totals_h1 (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 42.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Under 20.5 team_totals_q1 (-101)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 20.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Under 25.5 team_totals_q1 (-114)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 25.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Under 49.5 team_totals_h1 (-112)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 49.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Adelaide Crows Win (+229)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Adelaide Crows Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +229 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $32.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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