Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brennan Cox is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 63%, edge +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 12, 3:10AM UTC
AFL
Brennan Cox
Fremantle
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 9.5
-167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+10.1% Edge
Fremantle Dockers
@
Sydney Swans
To Be Confirmed, Victoria, VIC · Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep, 2:00AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
73 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 72.6% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +10.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 72.6% | — | 62.5% | 1.38 | +10.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/10 |
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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Brennan Cox Over 9.5 Disposals (-167)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Brennan Cox has been playing really well lately, and Fremantle has won 7 of their last 10 games. They have shown a strong performance by scoring an average of 28.7 points more than their opponents in their last 12 matches. This suggests that Cox will have plenty of opportunities to rack up disposals as the team continues to push forward.
Betting on Cox to get over 9.5 disposals looks promising given his team's recent form. The biggest risk here is that Sydney Swans are also a solid team, which could make it tougher for Cox to reach that number. However, with Fremantle's strong start and Cox's current momentum, he should have a good chance to get those disposals.
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Brennan Cox's lines for Mon 14 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Disposals 9.5
Brennan Cox's disposals line is 9.5.
Season averages (2024)
Brennan Cox averaged 11.1 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.
Hit-rate ladder: Disposals
Brennan Cox has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.
o9.560%
o10.550%
o11.550%
o12.530%
o13.530%
o14.520%
o15.520%
o16.520%
o17.510%
o18.510%
o19.510%
o20.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Brennan Cox is averaging 7.6 disposals per game over his last 5.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Brennan Cox recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 25 Aug 24 | Port Adelaide | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug 24 | GWS GIANTS | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Geelong Cats | 16 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 Aug 24 | Essendon | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 27 Jul 24 | West Coast Eagles | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 Jul 24 | Melbourne | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Hawthorn | 13 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Richmond | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar 24 | Brisbane Lions | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 26 Aug 23 | Hawthorn | 14 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Brennan Cox (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brennan Cox is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Monday 14 September at To Be Confirmed, Victoria. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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